Predictions

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | DOBER.GG

Next French Presidential Election

PredictionsMarkets

Next French Presidential Election

$147M Vol.$17M LiquidityEnds Apr 19

$885,317

24h Volume

$147,498,681

Total Volume

$17,033,444

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$3,440,040 Vol.

41%2%

Édouard Philippe

$2,055,013 Vol.

22%4%

David Lisnard

$4,254,621 Vol.

13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,995,704 Vol.

13%

François Hollande

$2,293,532 Vol.

3%0.6%

Gabriel Attal

$2,754,934 Vol.

2%1%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,142,693 Vol.

2%0.5%

Bruno Retailleau

$2,682,162 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$2,425,062 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$2,448,124 Vol.

<1%

Christine Lagarde

$833,705 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Bardella

$2,608,869 Vol.

<1%

Éric Zemmour

$2,789,990 Vol.

<1%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,018,557 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$4,635,172 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$4,452,194 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$6,376,298 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$6,893,295 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$1,173,933 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,890,671 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$6,153,892 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,689,313 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$4,248,945 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$6,249,823 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,074 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,943,092 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,259,176 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$4,071,671 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,944,268 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,450,917 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,839,332 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$2,092,150 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,747,702 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,408,924 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$5,181,822 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,426,154 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$2,367,952 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$4,192,669 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$423,770 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$750,469 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$1,412,326 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$489,673 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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