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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PredictionsMarkets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$45.1M Vol.$2.6M LiquidityEnds Dec 31
$253,647
24h Volume
$45,093,081
Total Volume
$2,580,699
Liquidity
OutcomeChance
0 (0 bps)
$6,520,895 Vol.
85%
1 (25 bps)
$2,232,385 Vol.
11%2%
2 (50 bps)
$2,245,200 Vol.
3%
3 (75 bps)
$2,233,857 Vol.
<1%
12+ (300+ bps)
$3,565,815 Vol.
<1%
6 (150 bps)
$3,734,567 Vol.
<1%
4 (100 bps)
$2,199,853 Vol.
<1%
5 (125 bps)
$2,447,110 Vol.
<1%
7 (175 bps)
$3,054,698 Vol.
<1%
8 (200 bps)
$3,099,897 Vol.
<1%
9 (225 bps)
$4,075,127 Vol.
<1%
10 (250 bps)
$4,754,667 Vol.
<1%
11 (275 bps)
$4,929,018 Vol.
<1%

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps) · Yes
Market
Amount
$
0.00 Shares
To win
Avg. Price 85.0¢
$0.00

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Market Summary

Market CreatorDoberTeam
CreatedSep 29
EndsDec 31
Market ID0xd4e7…8527
Share Market