Predictions

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Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen$5,378,655 Vol.
David Lisnard$7,654,121 Vol.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon$3,755,825 Vol.
Édouard Philippe$3,271,637 Vol.
Christine Lagarde$2,979,564 Vol.
François Hollande$3,229,248 Vol.
Raphaël Glucksmann$3,700,890 Vol.
Dominique de Villepin$3,662,546 Vol.
Teddy Riner$592,533 Vol.
Jordan Bardella$3,743,531 Vol.
Éric Zemmour$3,785,459 Vol.
Bruno Retailleau$4,000,070 Vol.
Gabriel Attal$3,869,956 Vol.
Xavier Bertrand$7,045,955 Vol.
Sarah Knafo$3,521,175 Vol.
Sébastien Lecornu$2,829,246 Vol.
François Baroin$2,032,203 Vol.
Bernard Cazeneuve$2,578,094 Vol.
Laurent Wauquiez$3,708,336 Vol.
François Ruffin$4,917,160 Vol.
Marine Tondelier$4,734,552 Vol.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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