Next French Presidential Election

$128M Vol.$16.6M LiquidityEnds Apr 30

$915,449

24h Volume

$127,511,042

Total Volume

$16,622,345

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$2,145,295 Vol.

36%0.6%

Édouard Philippe

$1,461,575 Vol.

27%1%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,325,137 Vol.

13%

François Hollande

$1,626,207 Vol.

David Lisnard

$1,781,436 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$2,140,905 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,644,159 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$2,001,715 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$2,099,688 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$1,714,070 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$1,951,592 Vol.

<1%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,565,250 Vol.

<1%

Éric Zemmour

$2,138,696 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$5,636,954 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,506,082 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$5,789,090 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,661,145 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$3,684,493 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$4,218,467 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$5,722,641 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,981,131 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,717,580 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$4,057,556 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,694,331 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$2,062,318 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,270,593 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$2,199,383 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$4,145,470 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$290,001 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$222,251 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$556,368 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$545,099 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$291,856 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$5,828,174 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$3,208,908 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,253,441 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,939,343 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,445,974 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,741,998 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$4,824,112 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,559 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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