Predictions

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | DOBER.GG

Next French Presidential Election

PredictionsMarkets

Next French Presidential Election

$139M Vol.$16.9M LiquidityEnds Apr 19

$900,298

24h Volume

$139,495,008

Total Volume

$16,941,329

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$2,755,560 Vol.

39%0.5%

Édouard Philippe

$1,791,931 Vol.

20%1%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,713,559 Vol.

14%2%

David Lisnard

$2,579,932 Vol.

8%0.5%

François Hollande

$2,059,003 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$2,485,748 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,901,793 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$2,408,877 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$2,285,489 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$2,554,927 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$2,213,782 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$6,655,682 Vol.

<1%

Dominique de Villepin

$2,092,029 Vol.

<1%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,835,509 Vol.

<1%

Christine Lagarde

$504,564 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$4,365,605 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$4,268,538 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$6,103,706 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$979,757 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$1,386,396 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$6,151,577 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,684,663 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,293 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$5,755,686 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,072 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,852,077 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,254,335 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,903 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,939,558 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,143 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,470 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,787,753 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$2,091,988 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,747,673 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,398,885 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,252 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,426,154 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$2,364,588 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$4,181,666 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$423,755 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$750,460 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$466,669 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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