Predictions

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Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Benjamin Netanyahu$81,678 Vol.
Gadi Eizenkot$85,724 Vol.
Naftali Bennett$33,338 Vol.
Yair Lapid$1,029 Vol.
Benny Gantz$703 Vol.
Avigdor Lieberman$2,093 Vol.
Yossi Cohen$993 Vol.
Yair Golan$966 Vol.
Itamar Ben Gvir$725 Vol.
Gideon Sa’ar$669 Vol.
Yariv Levin$713 Vol.
Moshe Feiglin$514 Vol.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?Gadi Eizenkot · YesBy trading, you agree to the Terms of Use. Orders open soon.
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