Next French Presidential Election

$118M Vol.$14.4M LiquidityEnds Apr 30

$485,280

24h Volume

$117,778,317

Total Volume

$14,440,713

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$1,762,390 Vol.

30%

Édouard Philippe

$1,224,950 Vol.

26%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,132,438 Vol.

14%

Gabriel Attal

$1,932,759 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$1,817,671 Vol.

François Hollande

$1,427,131 Vol.

3%0.6%

Dominique de Villepin

$1,588,695 Vol.

3%0.5%

Bruno Retailleau

$1,932,528 Vol.

David Lisnard

$1,559,914 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,360,973 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$1,716,143 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,350,955 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$1,960,359 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,031,905 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,214,979 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$1,734,399 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,444,843 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$3,050,137 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$4,992,163 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$5,244,363 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,066,154 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$1,884,452 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$5,136,552 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$3,485,819 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$3,912,237 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$5,509,988 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,749,895 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,543,472 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$3,903,127 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,734,831 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,271,001 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,525,563 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,555,440 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$4,636,990 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,243,320 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$3,957,713 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$125,678 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$88,508 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$427,097 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$389,605 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$151,180 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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