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    Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
    PredictionsMarkets

    Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

    $511K Vol.$41.6K LiquidityEnds Oct 31
    24h Volume
    $366,970
    Total Volume
    $511,233
    Liquidity
    $41,583

    Outcomes

    2 open · 39 resolved
    1. Ken Paxton$346,636 Vol.
      43%40%
    2. Mark Carney$4,642 Vol.
      10%0.5%

    Order Book

    Live asks and bids
    1¢Spread

    Resolution update: disputed. The proposed outcome is currently disputed and is under review by the UMA optimistic oracle.

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

    1. Outcome proposed
    2. Outcome proposed
    3. Disputed
    4. Disputed
    5. Outcome proposed
    6. Disputed
    7. Outcome proposed
    8. Outcome proposed
    9. Disputed
    10. Disputed
    11. Final review pending

    Newest first. Beware of external links.

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    Market order
    Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?Ken Paxton · Yes
    $
    0.00 shares
    To winAvg. price 42.6¢$0.00

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    Market Summary

    Market creator
    DoberTeam
    Created
    Oct 1
    Ends
    Oct 31
    Market ID
    0x56f4…96e6
    Share market
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