Predictions

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?