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    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
    PredictionsMarkets

    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

    $994K Vol.$38.9K LiquidityEnds Dec 31
    24h Volume
    $24,459
    Total Volume
    $994,234
    Liquidity
    $38,934

    Outcomes

    7 open · 13 resolved
    1. December 31$35,522 Vol.
      93%
    2. October 31$347,213 Vol.
      32%2%
    3. October 30$15,133 Vol.
      30%3%
    4. October 29$41,520 Vol.
      28%2%
    5. October 28$9,342 Vol.
      24%4%
    6. October 27$15,859 Vol.
      20%4%
    7. October 26$14,011 Vol.
      3%2%

    Order Book

    Live asks and bids
    2¢Spread

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

    Newest first. Beware of external links.

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    Market order
    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?October 31 · Yes
    $
    0.00 shares
    To winAvg. price 31.6¢$0.00

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    Dober Balance is separate and cannot be used for prediction-market orders.

    Market Summary

    Market creator
    DoberTeam
    Created
    Sep 3
    Ends
    Dec 31
    Market ID
    0x6114…935f
    Share market
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