Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$19.6M Vol.$148M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $17,252,409
Total Volume: $19,630,496
Liquidity: $147,653,930

Outcomes

128 open

None$2,107,022 Vol.
26%1%
IA, KS$1,455,604 Vol.
11%3%
IA$980,725 Vol.
10%3%
KS$118,396 Vol.
5%
All 7$210,236 Vol.
4%2%
IA, OH$260,816 Vol.
2%2%
ME$193,902 Vol.
2%
OH$246,563 Vol.
2%1%
AK$111,254 Vol.
1%
AK, IA$170,764 Vol.
1%0.6%
IA, KS, OH$98,121 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS$121,944 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$104,565 Vol.
1%0.6%
AK, KS$138,959 Vol.
1%0.8%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$91,629 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME$138,108 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME$104,611 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, TX$150,851 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$99,589 Vol.
<1%
MI$116,810 Vol.
<1%0.6%
TX$205,176 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$92,599 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$101,546 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$103,910 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$101,859 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$104,289 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$100,478 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$150,909 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$110,402 Vol.
<1%0.7%
IA, KS, ME, OH$95,202 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$95,565 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, OH, TX$90,217 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$99,647 Vol.
<1%0.9%
KS, ME$81,276 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$103,123 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$110,418 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$120,767 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$164,942 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$100,275 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$97,349 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$113,681 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$89,520 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$78,528 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$92,014 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$100,640 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$83,523 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,158,170 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$100,915 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, MI$107,492 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$118,860 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$85,248 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$110,349 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$112,195 Vol.
<1%1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$129,175 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$94,474 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$98,864 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$95,933 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$114,950 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$109,243 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$101,382 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$113,440 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$119,106 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$91,409 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$93,902 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$89,402 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$94,969 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$90,224 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$112,249 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$103,798 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$96,093 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$101,100 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$193,895 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$120,116 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$95,740 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$93,691 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$89,437 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$102,909 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$79,555 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$177,738 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$93,686 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$134,809 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$128,441 Vol.
<1%

Order Book

Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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