Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$20.2M Vol.$148M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $14,087,609
Total Volume: $20,243,140
Liquidity: $148,436,152

Outcomes

128 open

None$2,241,384 Vol.
25%
IA, KS$1,461,952 Vol.
12%
IA$986,485 Vol.
11%1%
KS$121,555 Vol.
4%
All 7$216,084 Vol.
4%2%
ME$193,994 Vol.
2%0.8%
AK, IA$170,764 Vol.
1%0.7%
IA, OH$263,741 Vol.
1%0.7%
AK$112,753 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$103,181 Vol.
1%
OH$246,783 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS$122,912 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$110,551 Vol.
1%
AK, KS$138,959 Vol.
1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$95,297 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME$107,375 Vol.
<1%1%
IA, ME$138,455 Vol.
<1%
IA, TX$160,813 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$114,240 Vol.
<1%
MI$118,352 Vol.
<1%
TX$205,199 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$98,598 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$105,585 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$101,546 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$106,498 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$118,923 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$105,548 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$153,837 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$112,647 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$99,676 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$98,313 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$92,424 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$103,592 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$84,148 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$104,136 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$103,414 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$103,017 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$111,018 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$124,491 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$164,942 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$117,181 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$92,441 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$86,831 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$97,094 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$100,640 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$88,388 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$103,669 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$107,492 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$124,698 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$85,248 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$115,321 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$110,433 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$118,543 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, OH, TX$129,175 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$94,474 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$105,048 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$95,933 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$109,243 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$103,746 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$113,440 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$119,106 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$92,015 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$94,502 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$96,130 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$94,969 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$126,332 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,158,170 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$90,224 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$113,649 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$103,798 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$96,093 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$101,100 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$193,895 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$120,116 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$95,740 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$93,691 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$89,437 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$102,909 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$79,555 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$177,738 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$134,809 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$128,484 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$131,379 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$103,735 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$104,345 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$115,459 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$123,274 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$113,535 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$127,790 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$142,586 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$140,674 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$87,405 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$118,004 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$86,276 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$99,010 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$107,476 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$106,874 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$104,691 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX$108,234 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH$103,358 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$114,990 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH$115,697 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX$127,457 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX$104,341 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX$141,596 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH$89,045 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$86,122 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX$79,567 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH$145,891 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, TX$98,777 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX$84,707 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH, TX$82,287 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH, TX$91,704 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI$98,841 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI$171,685 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH$118,434 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, TX$106,947 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH$122,452 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, TX$100,502 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH, TX$99,168 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH$79,689 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$92,140 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH$88,265 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, TX$164,434 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH, TX$101,782 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH, TX$137,039 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH$109,884 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX$140,910 Vol.
<1%

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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