Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$9.7M Vol.$38.6M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $10,208,775
Total Volume: $9,749,700
Liquidity: $38,640,808

Outcomes

128 open

None$302,919 Vol.
23%2%
IA, KS$836,383 Vol.
13%5%
IA$706,300 Vol.
11%2%
KS$79,831 Vol.
4%3%
All 7$123,185 Vol.
2%4%
AK, IA$91,049 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$54,555 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, KS, ME$70,144 Vol.
1%3%
IA, KS, TX$70,379 Vol.
1%3%
OH$65,328 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$74,731 Vol.
1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$71,223 Vol.
1%
AK, KS$105,778 Vol.
1%0.5%
IA, ME$83,334 Vol.
1%0.6%
IA, OH$82,587 Vol.
1%0.9%
AK$75,495 Vol.
1%
ME$83,575 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$65,401 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$67,716 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$54,305 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS$64,906 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, MI$73,542 Vol.
<1%0.8%
IA, TX$75,224 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$56,454 Vol.
<1%0.6%
MI$86,728 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, ME$58,441 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, OH$67,305 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$79,295 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$62,863 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, MI$65,933 Vol.
<1%0.8%
KS, OH$69,177 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$56,959 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$71,841 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$60,163 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$69,689 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$64,957 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$74,430 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$61,997 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$75,573 Vol.
<1%
TX$80,816 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$47,358 Vol.
<1%0.9%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$67,420 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$79,752 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$64,450 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$60,681 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$50,987 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$69,937 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$67,374 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$58,197 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$65,503 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$67,737 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$92,324 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$70,433 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$71,374 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$65,879 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$67,294 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$51,843 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$63,487 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$62,137 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$59,183 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$62,349 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$69,000 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$41,813 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$62,662 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$66,061 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$53,176 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$60,814 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$45,680 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$45,744 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$51,621 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$69,705 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$81,296 Vol.
<1%

Order Book

Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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