Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$12.1M Vol.$41.2M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $11,815,547
Total Volume: $12,116,349
Liquidity: $41,246,537

Outcomes

128 open

None$371,289 Vol.
23%2%
IA, KS$852,054 Vol.
13%5%
IA$723,307 Vol.
11%3%
KS$95,793 Vol.
4%3%
All 7$153,215 Vol.
2%4%
AK, IA$154,697 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$81,766 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, KS, TX$85,751 Vol.
1%3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$81,714 Vol.
1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS$93,541 Vol.
1%2%
IA, ME$91,107 Vol.
1%0.5%
AK$96,833 Vol.
1%
ME$92,009 Vol.
1%
OH$85,451 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$102,113 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$84,188 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME$89,879 Vol.
<1%3%
IA, MI$90,553 Vol.
<1%0.8%
IA, TX$90,492 Vol.
<1%
MI$102,977 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, OH$86,916 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$99,152 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$82,202 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, OH, TX$72,680 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$91,296 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$73,882 Vol.
<1%0.6%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$77,105 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$80,795 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$99,238 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$83,120 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$86,114 Vol.
<1%0.6%
IA, KS, MI$86,161 Vol.
<1%0.7%
KS, TX$86,055 Vol.
<1%
TX$105,064 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$86,761 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, KS$114,898 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$92,630 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$91,546 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$68,072 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$95,613 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$73,177 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$76,391 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$70,498 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$85,982 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$111,813 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$73,926 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$78,813 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$83,732 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$108,599 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$86,441 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$86,668 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$86,426 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$101,433 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, ME$83,005 Vol.
<1%3%
IA, ME, MI$76,818 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$82,504 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$69,347 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$80,016 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$76,596 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$76,253 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$77,465 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$77,456 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$57,224 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$71,617 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$73,063 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$68,131 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$67,931 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$54,639 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$61,354 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$66,831 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$84,515 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$96,006 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$91,107 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$66,424 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$76,702 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$77,533 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$77,101 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH$80,134 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$78,371 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX$69,171 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX$78,289 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$71,858 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH$70,831 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$77,585 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$77,337 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$75,606 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH$102,903 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX$85,294 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$86,090 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$115,132 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$79,889 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$74,482 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$73,012 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$74,689 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$70,619 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$78,834 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$74,642 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$73,376 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$75,880 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$77,454 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$80,244 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$81,901 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$63,018 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$73,699 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$71,307 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX$70,023 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH$64,689 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$68,118 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$72,326 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH$70,154 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX$68,995 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX$69,964 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX$72,753 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH$76,983 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, TX$66,011 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH, TX$63,758 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH, TX$67,067 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI$71,714 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI$93,157 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH$68,738 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, TX$70,760 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH$68,861 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, TX$66,932 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH, TX$69,072 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH$69,475 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, TX$88,429 Vol.
<1%

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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