Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$43.1M Vol.$38.9M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $21,338,098
Total Volume: $43,070,291
Liquidity: $38,918,226

Outcomes

128 open

None$4,388,016 Vol.
37%11%
IA$1,799,240 Vol.
11%
IA, KS$2,361,167 Vol.
6%6%
All 7$343,506 Vol.
4%
IA, KS, ME$285,965 Vol.
3%1%
KS$295,968 Vol.
2%2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$344,679 Vol.
2%1%
AK, IA$651,998 Vol.
2%0.7%
AK, IA, KS$410,198 Vol.
2%0.5%
AK$348,596 Vol.
2%
ME$365,323 Vol.
1%
IA, ME$372,239 Vol.
1%
OH$392,080 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$411,245 Vol.
1%
TX$311,316 Vol.
1%
IA, TX$272,147 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$245,705 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, TX$254,229 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$244,814 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH$226,848 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$185,454 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$272,536 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$177,333 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$374,134 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$710,454 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$224,208 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$209,211 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$222,168 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$235,776 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$236,421 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$245,586 Vol.
<1%
MI$458,380 Vol.
<1%0.6%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$179,699 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$192,586 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$291,312 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$188,868 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$331,057 Vol.
<1%0.8%
AK, IA, ME$680,833 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$202,561 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$198,204 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$191,896 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$249,753 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$287,614 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$259,964 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$238,554 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$232,805 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$185,324 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$444,435 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$210,630 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$171,128 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$165,400 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$268,781 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$368,849 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$199,271 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$235,897 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$296,871 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$280,733 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$206,571 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$346,561 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$176,893 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$227,654 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,230,473 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$319,037 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$176,924 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$215,003 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$266,779 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$187,987 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$270,879 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$180,571 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$269,053 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$283,789 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$254,641 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$226,857 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$206,013 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$215,438 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$258,653 Vol.
<1%0.5%
ME, OH$253,229 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$202,135 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$223,507 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$228,626 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX$302,634 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$225,737 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$276,644 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$257,780 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$330,957 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$245,433 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$236,096 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$273,712 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$174,472 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$220,466 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$253,542 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$278,370 Vol.
<1%1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$306,541 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$261,783 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$261,417 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX$336,290 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH$280,411 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$221,074 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH$263,668 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX$229,661 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX$191,562 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX$226,775 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH$193,229 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$417,730 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX$153,151 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH$284,960 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, TX$256,200 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX$335,014 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH, TX$188,067 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH, TX$183,926 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$227,491 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI$277,757 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI$331,479 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH$338,986 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, TX$238,498 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH$289,322 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, TX$244,778 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH, TX$197,277 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$234,182 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH$213,449 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$175,972 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, OH$214,804 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI, TX$362,802 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH, TX$198,171 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH, TX$246,537 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$264,002 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$252,962 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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