Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$61.7M Vol.$39.9M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $29,277,768
Total Volume: $61,676,676
Liquidity: $39,935,099

Outcomes

128 open

None$5,898,966 Vol.
34%2%
IA$2,004,283 Vol.
11%3%
IA, KS$2,549,613 Vol.
6%1%
All 7$407,732 Vol.
4%2%
KS$470,847 Vol.
3%
AK, IA$836,260 Vol.
3%1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$465,655 Vol.
2%1%
AK, IA, KS$512,398 Vol.
2%
AK$481,603 Vol.
2%
IA, KS, ME$568,647 Vol.
2%0.5%
IA, ME$589,057 Vol.
1%
TX$388,378 Vol.
1%
ME$478,381 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$463,986 Vol.
1%
OH$452,817 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$482,371 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH$314,674 Vol.
<1%
IA, TX$368,649 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$418,650 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, TX$439,445 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$360,753 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$450,854 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$261,267 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$213,295 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$333,770 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$307,902 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$293,948 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$463,150 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$370,763 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$271,038 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$816,137 Vol.
<1%
MI$661,882 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$293,874 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$268,379 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$292,742 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$213,412 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$427,707 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$318,503 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$340,941 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$394,901 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$403,155 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$276,948 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$231,075 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$372,503 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$459,621 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$766,863 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$440,906 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$344,563 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$320,513 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$325,441 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$261,517 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$309,806 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$185,833 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$434,838 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$409,918 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$2,578,954 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$341,999 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$358,589 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$318,398 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$431,397 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$352,364 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$301,047 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$308,049 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$372,666 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$409,082 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$235,493 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$718,758 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$586,427 Vol.
<1%

Order Book

Live asks and bids

This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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