Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$24.3M Vol.$147M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $4,642,206
Total Volume: $24,305,225
Liquidity: $147,468,112

Outcomes

128 open

None$2,357,692 Vol.
26%
IA, KS$1,636,462 Vol.
12%1%
IA$1,031,297 Vol.
11%
KS$143,228 Vol.
4%0.6%
All 7$240,628 Vol.
3%1%
AK$150,068 Vol.
2%0.5%
ME$205,270 Vol.
2%
AK, IA$213,544 Vol.
2%
IA, ME$195,139 Vol.
2%0.5%
AK, IA, KS$161,469 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME$151,004 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$274,434 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$188,915 Vol.
1%1%
IA, KS, OH$115,690 Vol.
1%
MI$298,299 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$147,841 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$131,446 Vol.
1%
OH$262,123 Vol.
1%
AK, KS$152,685 Vol.
1%
IA, TX$181,216 Vol.
1%
IA, MI$206,297 Vol.
<1%
TX$214,718 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$597,658 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$153,187 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$203,352 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$121,135 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$114,351 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$149,726 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$113,103 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$113,115 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$126,041 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$153,847 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$137,670 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$151,745 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$128,061 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$124,849 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$105,078 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$103,128 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$113,444 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$103,750 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$195,561 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$183,407 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$116,278 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$123,668 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$118,607 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$119,356 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$96,070 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,181,956 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$218,591 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$116,290 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$115,944 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$107,677 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$123,847 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$97,796 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$230,101 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$111,482 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$221,474 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$136,818 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$99,295 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$127,720 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$105,930 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$120,230 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$115,944 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$108,431 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$121,583 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$134,140 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$98,767 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$150,534 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$101,103 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$150,694 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$211,182 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$110,820 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$127,670 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$225,677 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$114,940 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$104,260 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$108,619 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$127,465 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$98,852 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$102,602 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$99,331 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$92,790 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$183,276 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$131,134 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$138,523 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$119,338 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$172,325 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$136,038 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$152,693 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$168,023 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$169,350 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$208,240 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$100,565 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$155,730 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$98,876 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$145,961 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$119,541 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$119,569 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX$146,957 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH$116,095 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$127,348 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH$119,652 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX$140,479 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX$118,631 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX$155,097 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH$101,320 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$89,290 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX$91,851 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH$160,710 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, TX$135,647 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX$249,534 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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