Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$20.4M Vol.$148M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $13,927,492
Total Volume: $20,374,303
Liquidity: $148,440,658

Outcomes

128 open

None$2,241,384 Vol.
25%
IA, KS$1,589,773 Vol.
12%
IA$986,485 Vol.
11%1%
KS$121,575 Vol.
4%
All 7$216,084 Vol.
4%2%
ME$193,994 Vol.
2%0.8%
IA, OH$264,127 Vol.
2%0.9%
AK, IA$170,783 Vol.
1%0.7%
AK$112,753 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$103,181 Vol.
1%
OH$249,383 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS$122,932 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$110,551 Vol.
1%
AK, KS$138,959 Vol.
1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$95,297 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME$107,375 Vol.
<1%1%
IA, ME$138,455 Vol.
<1%
IA, TX$160,813 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$114,253 Vol.
<1%
MI$118,352 Vol.
<1%
TX$205,199 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$98,598 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$105,585 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$101,546 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$106,498 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$118,923 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$105,548 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$153,837 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$112,647 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$99,676 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$98,313 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$92,424 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$103,592 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$84,148 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$104,136 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$103,414 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$103,017 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$111,018 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$124,491 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$164,942 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$117,181 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$92,441 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$86,831 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$97,094 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$100,640 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$88,388 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$103,669 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$107,492 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$124,698 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$85,248 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$115,321 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$110,433 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$118,543 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, OH, TX$129,175 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$94,474 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$105,048 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$95,933 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$109,243 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$103,746 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$113,440 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$119,106 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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