Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$32.4M Vol.$154M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $11,744,584
Total Volume: $32,445,929
Liquidity: $153,775,202

Outcomes

128 open

None$3,214,527 Vol.
32%7%
IA$1,121,293 Vol.
9%2%
IA, KS$2,104,828 Vol.
7%5%
KS$232,611 Vol.
3%1%
All 7$253,859 Vol.
2%1%
AK$251,541 Vol.
2%0.7%
AK, IA, KS$231,366 Vol.
2%
ME$294,901 Vol.
2%
AK, IA$284,310 Vol.
1%
OH$357,768 Vol.
1%
TX$255,165 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$160,720 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME$224,484 Vol.
1%
IA, ME$263,793 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$184,501 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$146,395 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$342,532 Vol.
<1%
IA, TX$196,072 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$167,527 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$245,229 Vol.
<1%
MI$416,282 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$219,143 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$133,955 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$186,130 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$163,661 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$138,658 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$144,457 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$168,576 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$150,336 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$148,336 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$173,073 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$122,991 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$666,156 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$204,420 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$206,275 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$173,363 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$172,610 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$161,211 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$182,914 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$143,242 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$222,315 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$188,646 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$188,572 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$172,555 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$244,922 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$187,277 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$183,037 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$135,478 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$279,622 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$164,204 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$184,197 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$180,598 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$189,555 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,195,844 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$238,049 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$195,386 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$268,298 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$177,513 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$135,240 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$208,506 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$179,381 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$192,616 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$149,593 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$189,573 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$187,181 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$224,479 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$322,869 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$196,326 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$185,706 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$148,427 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$250,947 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$205,392 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$143,923 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$297,060 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$129,440 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$175,620 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$125,072 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$143,084 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$113,432 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$199,045 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$136,777 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$191,919 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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