Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$15.5M Vol.$151M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $15,077,619
Total Volume: $15,535,028
Liquidity: $151,084,309

Outcomes

128 open

None$430,249 Vol.
23%2%
IA, KS$1,426,305 Vol.
12%3%
IA$919,839 Vol.
11%1%
KS$112,105 Vol.
5%1%
All 7$204,097 Vol.
4%
IA, OH$254,648 Vol.
2%2%
ME$187,971 Vol.
2%
OH$240,684 Vol.
2%0.7%
AK$103,822 Vol.
2%
AK, IA$160,115 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS$116,086 Vol.
1%1%
IA, KS, OH$82,366 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, KS, TX$96,758 Vol.
1%2%
IA, ME$129,914 Vol.
1%2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$84,999 Vol.
<1%0.9%
IA, KS, ME$95,020 Vol.
<1%3%
IA, MI$93,911 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, TX$92,603 Vol.
<1%0.8%
MI$110,930 Vol.
<1%
TX$191,296 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$145,352 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$96,028 Vol.
<1%0.7%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$86,839 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$91,942 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$89,376 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$125,792 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$98,410 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$115,210 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$94,916 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, TX$104,344 Vol.
<1%0.6%
IA, KS, ME, OH$86,714 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$88,475 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, OH, TX$84,373 Vol.
<1%0.8%
KS, ME$75,713 Vol.
<1%0.9%
KS, TX$94,695 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$89,361 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$72,692 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$159,385 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$108,118 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$109,047 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$77,300 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$83,609 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$77,089 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$90,353 Vol.
<1%0.8%
IA, KS, MI, OH$113,102 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$86,134 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$95,295 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$77,638 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$98,329 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$79,690 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$84,644 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$104,133 Vol.
<1%3%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$71,505 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$88,147 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$87,481 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$93,302 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$90,607 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$171,801 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$83,844 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$114,164 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$87,801 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$128,925 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$112,555 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$188,015 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$79,861 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$81,520 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$97,030 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$63,676 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$86,680 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$103,965 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$91,716 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$121,420 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$96,647 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$95,292 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$75,379 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$106,939 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$114,429 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$104,019 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$118,554 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$133,504 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$129,816 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$80,795 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$105,598 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$80,034 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$77,649 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$82,176 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$80,577 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$93,939 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$94,814 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$90,736 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX$90,499 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH$91,920 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$106,229 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH$104,619 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, TX$116,734 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, OH, TX$93,206 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI, OH, TX$126,223 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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