Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$13.2M Vol.$41.3M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $12,847,118
Total Volume: $13,216,217
Liquidity: $41,284,724

Outcomes

128 open

None$372,489 Vol.
23%2%
IA, KS$1,005,248 Vol.
14%6%
IA$723,894 Vol.
11%3%
KS$107,934 Vol.
4%0.5%
ME$146,814 Vol.
2%
All 7$153,235 Vol.
2%5%
AK, IA$154,994 Vol.
1%
AK$102,082 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$81,766 Vol.
1%0.9%
AK, IA, KS$115,115 Vol.
1%2%
IA, KS, TX$87,834 Vol.
1%3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$81,714 Vol.
1%0.9%
OH$85,749 Vol.
1%
IA, ME$91,307 Vol.
1%0.6%
IA, OH$102,411 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, MI$90,851 Vol.
<1%0.8%
MI$103,274 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, OH$87,310 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME$90,381 Vol.
<1%3%
IA, TX$91,492 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$118,028 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$80,795 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$91,296 Vol.
<1%0.7%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$84,188 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$99,367 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$86,114 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, TX$82,202 Vol.
<1%2%
TX$105,559 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$86,337 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$92,630 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$86,761 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$99,238 Vol.
<1%0.8%
IA, KS, ME, MI$83,152 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$72,799 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$75,040 Vol.
<1%0.9%
KS, TX$86,352 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$73,714 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$76,589 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$68,072 Vol.
<1%0.6%
IA, KS, MI, OH$111,813 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$83,990 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$87,740 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$91,546 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$101,433 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, TX$108,796 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$77,105 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$95,930 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$70,695 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$83,005 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, ME$79,310 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$86,685 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$80,197 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$86,965 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$69,645 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$86,234 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$74,080 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$76,996 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$73,123 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$84,719 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$91,296 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$77,000 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$76,581 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$78,195 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$57,521 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$82,661 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$68,296 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$68,028 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$77,882 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$54,977 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$77,634 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$67,173 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$96,213 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH$102,903 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$78,371 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX$69,336 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$77,559 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$71,777 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$61,572 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$75,606 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX$85,294 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$115,769 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$96,309 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$94,680 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$66,721 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$106,938 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$114,179 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$103,604 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$117,111 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$111,312 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$107,674 Vol.
<1%

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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