Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$33.9M Vol.$152M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $12,938,874
Total Volume: $33,860,812
Liquidity: $152,345,403

Outcomes

128 open

None$3,634,948 Vol.
32%7%
IA$1,481,869 Vol.
11%0.5%
IA, KS$2,114,363 Vol.
7%5%
KS$237,920 Vol.
4%0.8%
All 7$264,109 Vol.
3%0.6%
AK, IA, KS$285,771 Vol.
2%0.9%
AK, IA$368,064 Vol.
2%0.9%
AK$255,893 Vol.
2%0.7%
ME$297,421 Vol.
2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$190,563 Vol.
1%
IA, ME$264,870 Vol.
1%
OH$360,018 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME$228,475 Vol.
1%
TX$257,556 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$187,908 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$148,903 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$190,121 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$343,701 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, TX$198,145 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$153,350 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$151,919 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$248,308 Vol.
<1%
MI$422,184 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$223,707 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$187,158 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$182,367 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$668,061 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$177,668 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$152,820 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$146,501 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$152,601 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$173,138 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$123,403 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$209,200 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$210,793 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$331,450 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$177,532 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$172,989 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$162,223 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$173,363 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$143,621 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$224,596 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$288,432 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$182,914 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$191,788 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$188,572 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$173,756 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$258,741 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$184,576 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$271,797 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$188,804 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$187,227 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$139,655 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$230,139 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$180,977 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$193,498 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,196,224 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$253,013 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$195,426 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$181,456 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$138,533 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$214,800 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$179,381 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$196,155 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$152,071 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$194,737 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$189,477 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$201,866 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$190,247 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$149,561 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$251,344 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$205,919 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$146,548 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$299,785 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$130,856 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$180,484 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$127,151 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$143,089 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX$298,506 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$114,850 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$202,066 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$137,311 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$214,828 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$192,818 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$222,505 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$175,969 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$208,889 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$228,763 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$191,034 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$205,231 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$206,829 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$245,444 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$117,768 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$192,379 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$170,838 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$262,199 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$165,760 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$222,842 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$225,731 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, TX$180,005 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH$218,914 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, TX$165,739 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH$230,775 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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