Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$16M Vol.$151M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $14,046,957
Total Volume: $15,980,763
Liquidity: $151,336,271

Outcomes

128 open

None$437,574 Vol.
23%2%
IA, KS$1,448,703 Vol.
13%2%
IA$971,174 Vol.
11%4%
KS$112,592 Vol.
5%1%
All 7$204,144 Vol.
4%2%
IA, OH$254,907 Vol.
2%2%
ME$188,002 Vol.
2%0.7%
OH$240,706 Vol.
2%1%
AK$104,511 Vol.
2%
AK, IA$163,769 Vol.
1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS$116,086 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$91,850 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$98,841 Vol.
1%1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$85,004 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME$130,035 Vol.
<1%1%
IA, TX$126,661 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME$98,053 Vol.
<1%3%
IA, MI$93,911 Vol.
<1%
MI$110,952 Vol.
<1%0.7%
TX$191,318 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$96,033 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$86,844 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$98,192 Vol.
<1%0.6%
IA, KS, MI$89,376 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, KS$125,814 Vol.
<1%0.6%
KS, OH$98,432 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$115,210 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$95,559 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$94,921 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$145,352 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$104,344 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, OH$86,719 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$88,580 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, OH, TX$84,373 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$75,718 Vol.
<1%0.7%
KS, TX$94,717 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$77,305 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$98,334 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$94,038 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$77,089 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$159,385 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$101,634 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$104,791 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$108,123 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$83,652 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$72,903 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$90,358 Vol.
<1%0.9%
AK, IA, OH$86,156 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$109,047 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$90,038 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$77,665 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$113,102 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$79,690 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$104,138 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, OH, TX$123,309 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$87,586 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$93,307 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$90,076 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$103,386 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$95,322 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$105,286 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$105,322 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$84,666 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$85,851 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$87,054 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$171,852 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$83,844 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$88,121 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$106,263 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$97,873 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$89,854 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$95,242 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$188,037 Vol.
<1%

Order Book

Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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