Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$31.5M Vol.$153M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $10,932,046
Total Volume: $31,488,893
Liquidity: $152,699,525

Outcomes

128 open

None$3,159,791 Vol.
32%7%
IA$1,117,662 Vol.
9%2%
IA, KS$2,095,592 Vol.
7%5%
KS$222,731 Vol.
4%0.7%
All 7$253,859 Vol.
2%1%
AK, IA, KS$230,866 Vol.
2%
ME$282,453 Vol.
2%
AK$235,572 Vol.
2%
IA, KS, ME$221,218 Vol.
1%0.5%
AK, IA$283,640 Vol.
1%
OH$344,377 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$159,966 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$184,416 Vol.
1%
IA, TX$195,956 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$145,183 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$232,566 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME$262,257 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH$342,532 Vol.
<1%
TX$238,349 Vol.
<1%
MI$381,083 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$133,955 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$219,143 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$183,380 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$166,860 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$191,757 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$163,036 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$141,984 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$138,658 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$167,951 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$150,336 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$148,114 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$172,359 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$122,991 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$666,156 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$192,542 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$172,506 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$172,610 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$208,280 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$146,515 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$181,914 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$142,242 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$188,423 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$187,739 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$171,555 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$244,700 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$187,277 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$181,232 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$135,255 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$279,622 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$164,204 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$184,197 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$180,498 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$176,892 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,195,844 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$237,826 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$194,386 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$268,298 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$177,290 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$135,017 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$195,844 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$179,381 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$192,543 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$149,593 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$176,910 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$174,664 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$305,794 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$182,528 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$173,266 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$148,427 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$236,105 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$190,550 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$143,923 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$296,837 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$129,440 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$175,470 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$125,072 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$257,665 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$143,084 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$113,209 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$184,036 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$124,004 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$172,070 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$208,282 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$209,865 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$163,329 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$196,800 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$194,583 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$214,483 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$176,376 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$191,306 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$192,880 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$231,472 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$116,418 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$178,697 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$169,198 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$165,081 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI$208,186 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH$201,450 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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