Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$8.3M Vol.$37.3M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $8,102,754
Total Volume: $8,280,368
Liquidity: $37,349,667

Outcomes

128 open

None$287,504 Vol.
22%3%
IA, KS$824,375 Vol.
14%6%
IA$684,550 Vol.
11%3%
KS$69,388 Vol.
4%2%
All 7$106,483 Vol.
2%4%
IA, KS, ME$58,917 Vol.
2%2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$55,922 Vol.
1%
AK, IA$80,256 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$42,826 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, KS, TX$52,839 Vol.
1%3%
OH$52,089 Vol.
1%
AK$61,360 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$61,029 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$57,897 Vol.
1%3%
AK, IA, KS$54,495 Vol.
1%2%
AK, KS$65,652 Vol.
1%0.5%
IA, ME$54,616 Vol.
1%0.6%
IA, OH$73,281 Vol.
1%0.9%
IA, TX$65,916 Vol.
1%0.5%
ME$64,136 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$55,859 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$58,011 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$44,655 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$64,256 Vol.
<1%0.8%
KS, ME$46,864 Vol.
<1%0.6%
MI$61,201 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, ME$48,213 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, KS, OH$57,160 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$69,039 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$53,276 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, MI$56,040 Vol.
<1%0.8%
KS, OH$60,177 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$46,433 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$53,425 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$49,590 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$58,695 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$54,415 Vol.
<1%3%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$63,907 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$51,175 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$57,054 Vol.
<1%
TX$69,419 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$37,814 Vol.
<1%0.9%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$47,550 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$47,512 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$41,581 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$55,536 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$40,790 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$43,132 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$58,153 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$54,030 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$43,926 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$62,320 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$50,822 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$42,434 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$43,025 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$55,262 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$52,929 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$49,441 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$52,034 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$52,420 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$31,981 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$45,781 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$48,732 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$44,371 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$43,965 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$30,499 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$36,440 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$42,573 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$60,902 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$71,978 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$64,599 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$40,001 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$49,095 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$48,097 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$48,498 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$48,650 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$34,314 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH$50,470 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$51,161 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH, TX$42,763 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH, TX$51,725 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI$44,292 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, OH$44,362 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI, TX$51,254 Vol.
<1%
AK, MI$50,730 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$41,667 Vol.
<1%
MI, OH$76,149 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX$58,514 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$59,337 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$88,957 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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