Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$17.5M Vol.$146M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $17,283,271
Total Volume: $17,549,656
Liquidity: $146,332,688

Outcomes

128 open

None$836,679 Vol.
26%1%
IA, KS$1,449,114 Vol.
11%3%
IA$972,374 Vol.
10%4%
KS$112,817 Vol.
5%0.8%
All 7$204,144 Vol.
4%2%
IA, OH$254,907 Vol.
2%1%
ME$188,044 Vol.
2%
AK$105,572 Vol.
2%
OH$240,706 Vol.
2%1%
AK, IA$163,769 Vol.
1%0.6%
IA, KS, OH$91,850 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS$116,086 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$98,841 Vol.
1%1%
AK, KS$133,101 Vol.
1%0.9%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$86,004 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME$130,035 Vol.
<1%0.9%
IA, KS, ME$99,053 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, TX$145,293 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$93,911 Vol.
<1%
MI$110,952 Vol.
<1%0.5%
TX$196,818 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$86,844 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$98,192 Vol.
<1%0.6%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$96,033 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$96,574 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$95,559 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$98,432 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$94,921 Vol.
<1%1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$145,352 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$104,844 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, OH$86,719 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$90,008 Vol.
<1%2%
IA, KS, OH, TX$84,373 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$93,689 Vol.
<1%0.9%
KS, ME$75,718 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$91,724 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$115,210 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$159,385 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$94,717 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$108,123 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$83,662 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$72,903 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$86,156 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$90,038 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$77,665 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$104,793 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,152,313 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$92,358 Vol.
<1%0.9%
AK, IA, KS, MI$101,634 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$113,102 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$79,690 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$104,791 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$106,638 Vol.
<1%2%
AK, IA, OH, TX$123,318 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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