Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

$40.3M Vol.$139M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $17,405,055
Total Volume: $40,294,567
Liquidity: $138,644,593

Outcomes

128 open

None$4,174,341 Vol.
34%8%
IA$1,726,431 Vol.
11%0.8%
IA, KS$2,193,240 Vol.
7%5%
All 7$321,959 Vol.
4%0.5%
KS$271,879 Vol.
4%
AK, IA$611,326 Vol.
2%0.9%
AK, IA, KS$365,058 Vol.
2%0.7%
ME$350,062 Vol.
2%
AK$325,176 Vol.
2%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$306,939 Vol.
1%
IA, ME$347,774 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$396,954 Vol.
1%
OH$370,727 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$220,065 Vol.
1%
TX$290,571 Vol.
1%
IA, TX$259,519 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME$262,898 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$219,932 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH$208,405 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$180,218 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$212,733 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$197,977 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$161,333 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$701,380 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS$272,294 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$214,667 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$233,118 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$186,335 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$190,712 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$210,150 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$318,654 Vol.
<1%0.5%
KS, OH$234,730 Vol.
<1%
MI$445,721 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$162,032 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$168,391 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$193,868 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$192,726 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$217,194 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$184,888 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$186,001 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$172,407 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$254,364 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$249,355 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$228,366 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$196,581 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$434,547 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$195,341 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$206,369 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$209,287 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$189,714 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$226,852 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$644,441 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$217,818 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$355,014 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$253,472 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$203,778 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$163,063 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$251,267 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$216,193 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$158,395 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$220,475 Vol.
<1%
AK, TX$267,227 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$353,914 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH$222,514 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$224,247 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$230,834 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$171,556 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,221,404 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$315,591 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX$166,712 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, OH$208,472 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, TX$257,017 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH, TX$163,547 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, OH, TX$265,144 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH, TX$175,124 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH, TX$166,547 Vol.
<1%
AK, OH$210,784 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$237,471 Vol.
<1%0.5%
ME, MI$242,778 Vol.
<1%
ME, OH$239,693 Vol.
<1%
ME, TX$332,763 Vol.
<1%
MI, TX$290,936 Vol.
<1%
OH, TX$199,109 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, TX$407,432 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$224,602 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$272,191 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$250,538 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$219,345 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$226,613 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$229,121 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX$267,133 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$132,244 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$211,067 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI$243,292 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, OH$272,444 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI, TX$295,548 Vol.
<1%

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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