Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

$20.6M Vol.$149M LiquidityEnds Nov 3

24h Volume: $12,131,288
Total Volume: $20,611,679
Liquidity: $148,762,184

Outcomes

128 open

None$2,241,854 Vol.
25%1%
IA, KS$1,591,965 Vol.
12%2%
IA$988,026 Vol.
11%
KS$127,315 Vol.
5%0.9%
All 7$216,195 Vol.
3%1%
ME$194,462 Vol.
2%0.7%
AK, IA, KS$127,411 Vol.
1%
AK, IA$171,892 Vol.
1%
IA, OH$264,778 Vol.
1%
AK$112,753 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH$103,581 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, TX$111,551 Vol.
1%
OH$249,853 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$95,402 Vol.
<1%0.5%
IA, KS, ME$108,375 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, KS$144,910 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME$138,455 Vol.
<1%
IA, TX$160,813 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$185,789 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI$117,767 Vol.
<1%
MI$122,302 Vol.
<1%
TX$205,499 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX$98,706 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH$105,585 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX$101,846 Vol.
<1%
KS, OH$106,498 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$103,414 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$105,569 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX$104,636 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, TX$114,040 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, OH$99,676 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, TX$98,313 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, OH, TX$93,887 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI$103,592 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME$84,148 Vol.
<1%
KS, TX$118,923 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX$103,017 Vol.
<1%0.5%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH$111,018 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX$124,491 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, TX$164,942 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI$117,631 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH$92,891 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH$87,003 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, OH$99,466 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, MI$100,640 Vol.
<1%
AK, ME$88,838 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, ME$105,669 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI$107,492 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, OH$124,698 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, MI, TX$85,248 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, TX$115,771 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, TX$110,433 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX$118,543 Vol.
<1%0.7%
AK, IA, OH, TX$129,625 Vol.
<1%
IA, KS, ME, MI$94,474 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME$105,048 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, MI$96,383 Vol.
<1%
AK, KS, ME$109,693 Vol.
<1%
IA, ME, OH$104,196 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, OH$113,890 Vol.
<1%
IA, MI, TX$119,556 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, OH$92,015 Vol.
<1%
KS, ME, TX$94,952 Vol.
<1%
KS, MI$96,130 Vol.
<1%
ME, MI$95,419 Vol.
<1%
IA, OH, TX$90,224 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX$114,099 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,160,436 Vol.
<1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH$215,537 Vol.
<1%

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Live asks and bids

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This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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