Predictions

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | DOBER.GG

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

PredictionsMarkets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$26.5M Vol.$2.2M LiquidityEnds Apr 1

$278,351

24h Volume

$26,541,822

Total Volume

$2,180,415

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$79,441 Vol.

15%0.9%

Mykola Kuleba

$40,900 Vol.

9%2%

Save the Children

$46,784 Vol.

International Court of Justice

$962,739 Vol.

6%0.5%

Yulia Navalnaya

$414,766 Vol.

5%0.5%

Hussam Abu Safiya

$14,156 Vol.

4%3%

Committee to Protect Journalists

$30,273 Vol.

4%0.5%

UNHCR

$8,882 Vol.

International Space Station

$2,599 Vol.

UNRWA

$2,072,869 Vol.

International Criminal Court

$7,060 Vol.

2%3%

Doctors Without Borders

$1,710 Vol.

2%1%

Sara Al-Saqqa

$18,440 Vol.

Pope Leo XIV

$885,481 Vol.

Reporters Without Borders

$12,359 Vol.

1%0.9%

ICRC

$8,308 Vol.

António Guterres

$645,605 Vol.

Mark Carney

$39,348 Vol.

Chow Hang-tung

$34,763 Vol.

1%1%

World Central Kitchen

$5,863 Vol.

Parents Circle – Families Forum

$2,296 Vol.

1%0.7%

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$7,796 Vol.

<1%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$808,274 Vol.

<1%0.6%

Julian Assange

$863,110 Vol.

<1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$879,803 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,135,176 Vol.

<1%

Greta Thunberg

$1,490,666 Vol.

<1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,299,292 Vol.

<1%

International Association of Judges

$222 Vol.

<1%4%

International Peace Research Association

$340 Vol.

<1%5%

Yad Vashem

$478 Vol.

<1%5%

Elon Musk

$1,234,843 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Putin

$956,001 Vol.

<1%

Khaled Mashal

$910,578 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$756,774 Vol.

<1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,072,877 Vol.

<1%

Xi Jinping

$1,540,197 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Kirk

$1,320,629 Vol.

<1%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,226,148 Vol.

<1%

Narendra Modi

$703,975 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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