Predictions

Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | DOBER.GG

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

PredictionsMarkets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$32.3M Vol.$6.3M LiquidityEnds Apr 1

$4,747,100

24h Volume

$32,305,043

Total Volume

$6,334,289

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Other

$38,517 Vol.

>99%

Donald Trump

$7,956,828 Vol.

<1%0.7%

Pope Leo XIV

$1,005,299 Vol.

<1%1%

Yulia Navalnaya

$1,986,322 Vol.

<1%5%

Julian Assange

$1,204,056 Vol.

<1%0.7%

Greta Thunberg

$1,524,190 Vol.

<1%

Elon Musk

$1,244,891 Vol.

<1%

UNRWA

$2,100,712 Vol.

<1%2%

International Court of Justice

$1,213,007 Vol.

<1%4%

António Guterres

$668,989 Vol.

<1%1%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$935,224 Vol.

<1%0.9%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$895,474 Vol.

<1%0.9%

Vladimir Putin

$958,006 Vol.

<1%

Khaled Mashal

$912,689 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$797,198 Vol.

<1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,072,877 Vol.

<1%

Xi Jinping

$1,548,717 Vol.

<1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,319,718 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Kirk

$1,320,649 Vol.

<1%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,226,149 Vol.

<1%

Narendra Modi

$703,975 Vol.

<1%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$280,941 Vol.

<1%16%

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$15,826 Vol.

<1%0.8%

Chow Hang-tung

$42,631 Vol.

<1%0.7%

Committee to Protect Journalists

$110,092 Vol.

<1%3%

Reporters Without Borders

$18,175 Vol.

<1%1%

UNHCR

$14,792 Vol.

<1%3%

ICRC

$13,632 Vol.

<1%1%

Hussam Abu Safiya

$103,150 Vol.

<1%2%

World Central Kitchen

$27,687 Vol.

<1%0.8%

Save the Children

$96,996 Vol.

<1%8%

Sara Al-Saqqa

$296,444 Vol.

<1%2%

Mark Carney

$74,998 Vol.

<1%0.9%

Mykola Kuleba

$228,246 Vol.

<1%8%

International Criminal Court

$140,923 Vol.

<1%2%

Doctors Without Borders

$14,135 Vol.

<1%2%

International Space Station

$46,332 Vol.

<1%2%

Parents Circle – Families Forum

$12,301 Vol.

<1%0.9%

International Association of Judges

$17,995 Vol.

<1%

International Peace Research Association

$13,194 Vol.

<1%3%

Yad Vashem

$18,191 Vol.

<1%

Jimmy Lai

$70,322 Vol.

<1%2%

Ilham Tohti

$14,549 Vol.

<1%3%

Resolution updateproposed

An outcome has been proposed and is in its challenge window with the UMA optimistic oracle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Outcome proposed

Final review pending

NewestBeware of external links.