Predictions

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | DOBER.GG

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

PredictionsMarkets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$2.6M Vol.$929K LiquidityEnds Oct 5

$613,933

24h Volume

$2,609,394

Total Volume

$928,647

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Augusto Cury

$529,074 Vol.

>99%76%

Renan Santos

$987,146 Vol.

<1%51%

Tarcisio de Freitas

$16,773 Vol.

<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$69,870 Vol.

<1%

Jair Bolsonaro

$15,847 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Haddad

$23,204 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$20,815 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$46,212 Vol.

<1%

Ratinho Júnior

$104,208 Vol.

<1%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$156,916 Vol.

<1%

Ronaldo Caiado

$379,478 Vol.

<1%24%

Romeu Zema

$138,694 Vol.

<1%

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

Geraldo Alckmin

$11,811 Vol.

<1%

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

Pablo Marçal

$69,459 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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