Predictions

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | DOBER.GG

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

PredictionsMarkets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$30.6M Vol.$1.3M LiquidityEnds Apr 1

$3,308,164

24h Volume

$30,648,452

Total Volume

$1,309,792

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Mykola Kuleba

$181,080 Vol.

28%20%

Yulia Navalnaya

$1,830,823 Vol.

22%17%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$242,466 Vol.

14%2%

International Court of Justice

$1,019,608 Vol.

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$870,247 Vol.

5%4%

Save the Children

$84,754 Vol.

3%4%

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$13,576 Vol.

2%0.9%

Jimmy Lai

$14,757 Vol.

Sara Al-Saqqa

$25,349 Vol.

Committee to Protect Journalists

$43,837 Vol.

1%2%

Pope Leo XIV

$989,231 Vol.

International Criminal Court

$27,866 Vol.

1%1%

Doctors Without Borders

$13,040 Vol.

<1%0.9%

Reporters Without Borders

$15,677 Vol.

<1%

Mark Carney

$73,801 Vol.

<1%

International Peace Research Association

$10,430 Vol.

<1%

Greta Thunberg

$1,519,598 Vol.

<1%

UNRWA

$2,084,470 Vol.

<1%2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$926,253 Vol.

<1%0.5%

World Central Kitchen

$12,405 Vol.

<1%0.8%

International Association of Judges

$17,934 Vol.

<1%

ICRC

$12,284 Vol.

<1%1%

UNHCR

$12,294 Vol.

<1%2%

Donald Trump

$7,808,746 Vol.

<1%0.5%

Julian Assange

$890,644 Vol.

<1%0.8%

Parents Circle – Families Forum

$10,821 Vol.

<1%0.8%

Hussam Abu Safiya

$23,940 Vol.

<1%2%

International Space Station

$38,817 Vol.

<1%2%

Elon Musk

$1,243,891 Vol.

<1%

António Guterres

$659,451 Vol.

<1%1%

Vladimir Putin

$958,006 Vol.

<1%

Khaled Mashal

$912,689 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$797,198 Vol.

<1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,072,877 Vol.

<1%

Xi Jinping

$1,548,717 Vol.

<1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,319,718 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Kirk

$1,320,649 Vol.

<1%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,226,149 Vol.

<1%

Narendra Modi

$703,975 Vol.

<1%

Chow Hang-tung

$40,627 Vol.

<1%0.7%

Yad Vashem

$18,191 Vol.

<1%

Ilham Tohti

$11,565 Vol.

<1%3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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