Brazil Presidential Election

$125M Vol.$11.4M LiquidityEnds Oct 4

$943,042

24h Volume

$124,832,830

Total Volume

$11,441,895

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$8,447,827 Vol.

67%1%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$8,372,548 Vol.

30%1%

Renan Santos

$9,816,771 Vol.

5%0.6%

Jair Bolsonaro

$5,658,663 Vol.

<1%

Ronaldo Caiado

$5,942,320 Vol.

<1%0.6%

Geraldo Alckmin

$5,292,363 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$9,800,814 Vol.

<1%

Romeu Zema

$5,509,633 Vol.

<1%

Camilo Santana

$4,984,300 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Cristina

$3,631,595 Vol.

<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas

$13,921,748 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Haddad

$7,088,614 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$10,441,846 Vol.

<1%

Ratinho Júnior

$10,427,470 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Leite

$7,964,749 Vol.

<1%

Aldo Rebelo

$4,934,670 Vol.

<1%

Helder Barbalho

$2,367,850 Vol.

<1%

Pablo Marçal

$321,932 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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