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OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
PredictionsMarkets

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

$1.4M Vol.$73.6K LiquidityEnds Oct 31
$706,762
24h Volume
$1,387,486
Total Volume
$73,611
Liquidity
OutcomeChance
September 30
$173,970 Vol.
>99%0.9%
October 31
$76,799 Vol.
>99%
September 25
$13,267 Vol.
99%0.9%
September 15
$141,661 Vol.
98%0.5%
September 11
$46,490 Vol.
96%
September 9
$27,004 Vol.
91%4%
September 8
$1,575 Vol.
80%
September 7
$1,623 Vol.
71%
September 6
$6,863 Vol.
53%
September 5
$3,989 Vol.
35%
September 4
$143,349 Vol.
21%69%

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
September 4 · Yes
Market
Amount
$
0.00 Shares
To win
Avg. Price 20.7¢
$0.00

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Market Summary

Market CreatorDoberTeam
CreatedSep 1
EndsOct 31
Market ID0x503a…5616
Share Market