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Which company has the best AI model end of September?
PredictionsMarkets

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

$1.7M Vol.$1.1M LiquidityEnds Oct 1
$485,405
24h Volume
$1,654,083
Total Volume
$1,059,702
Liquidity
OutcomeChance
Anthropic
$348,582 Vol.
86%3%
OpenAI
$224,121 Vol.
12%3%
Google
$142,274 Vol.
2%0.9%
Meta
$140,726 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$126,628 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$136,159 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$61,816 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$33,925 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$99,592 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$33,230 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$76,868 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$19,033 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$46,987 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$17,539 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$14,148 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$23,406 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$22,591 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$18,597 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$12,889 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$21,501 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$37,694 Vol.
<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Meta · Yes
Market
Amount
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Avg. Price 0.4¢
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Market Summary

Market CreatorDoberTeam
CreatedJul 21
EndsOct 1
Market ID0xc3e6…bc3a
Share Market