Predictions

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | DOBER.GG

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

PredictionsMarkets

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

$950K Vol.$434K LiquidityEnds Oct 5

$96,441

24h Volume

$949,606

Total Volume

$434,038

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Flavio Bolsonaro

$147,497 Vol.

99%0.8%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$534,691 Vol.

98%0.9%

Ronaldo Caiado

$1,801 Vol.

<1%

Romeu Zema

$2,037 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Haddad

$66,224 Vol.

<1%

Renan Santos

$47,519 Vol.

<1%

Tarcisio de Frietas

$88,594 Vol.

<1%

Jair Bolsonaro

$18,850 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$42,392 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

NewestBeware of external links.