Next French Presidential Election

$130M Vol.$16.1M LiquidityEnds Apr 30

$1,191,892

24h Volume

$130,077,211

Total Volume

$16,061,160

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$2,269,372 Vol.

37%2%

Édouard Philippe

$1,544,502 Vol.

30%1%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,381,832 Vol.

13%1%

David Lisnard

$1,864,989 Vol.

François Hollande

$1,716,762 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$2,075,399 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$2,217,884 Vol.

2%0.5%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,688,556 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$1,813,919 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$2,150,851 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,616,898 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Knafo

$2,010,097 Vol.

<1%

Éric Zemmour

$2,213,547 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$5,678,948 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,634,820 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$2,244,668 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,623 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,321 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$4,173,456 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$5,842,202 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$3,208,988 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$3,692,847 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,573 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$5,755,648 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,056 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,010 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,253,693 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,939,509 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,116 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,742,190 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,336,190 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$4,824,170 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,666 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$484,303 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$750,443 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$740,819 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$439,475 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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