Predictions

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | DOBER.GG

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PredictionsMarkets

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

$1M Vol.$1M LiquidityEnds Oct 31

$428,448

24h Volume

$1,031,522

Total Volume

$1,039,790

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Google

$199,794 Vol.

72%63%

Anthropic

$250,255 Vol.

26%63%

Meta

$97,202 Vol.

<1%

OpenAI

$110,661 Vol.

<1%1%

Alibaba

$58,348 Vol.

<1%

Moonshot

$50,659 Vol.

<1%

Baidu

$11,129 Vol.

<1%

Z.ai

$41,098 Vol.

<1%

Xiaomi

$4,471 Vol.

<1%

SpaceXAI

$83,303 Vol.

<1%

DeepSeek

$70,441 Vol.

<1%

Amazon

$3,066 Vol.

<1%

ByteDance

$23,518 Vol.

<1%

Nvidia

$7,360 Vol.

<1%

Thinky

$925 Vol.

<1%

MiniMax

$1,262 Vol.

<1%

Mistral

$4,800 Vol.

<1%

Meituan

$4,885 Vol.

<1%

Tencent

$6,478 Vol.

<1%

StepFun

$540 Vol.

<1%

Microsoft

$1,327 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

NewestBeware of external links.