Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$24M Vol.$1.7M LiquidityEnds Oct 10

$128,399

24h Volume

$23,989,989

Total Volume

$1,658,338

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Yulia Navalnaya

$297,430 Vol.

Save the Children

$4,069 Vol.

7%2%

International Court of Justice

$913,902 Vol.

UNRWA

$2,051,133 Vol.

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$7,125 Vol.

4%0.8%

Donald Trump

$4,648,661 Vol.

3%2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$823,079 Vol.

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$789,014 Vol.

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,274,437 Vol.

World Central Kitchen

$3,123 Vol.

Narendra Modi

$688,624 Vol.

Greta Thunberg

$1,473,826 Vol.

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$1,299 Vol.

António Guterres

$640,713 Vol.

1%0.6%

Committee to Protect Journalists

$2,585 Vol.

<1%

ICRC

$2,870 Vol.

<1%

Chow Hang-tung

$2,533 Vol.

<1%

Pope Leo XIV

$820,191 Vol.

<1%

Julian Assange

$857,022 Vol.

<1%

Xi Jinping

$1,435,906 Vol.

<1%

Reporters Without Borders

$1,718 Vol.

<1%

UNHCR

$1,888 Vol.

<1%

Hussam Abu Safiya

$3,698 Vol.

<1%

Sara Al-Saqqa

$3,367 Vol.

<1%

Elon Musk

$1,194,789 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Putin

$922,258 Vol.

<1%

Khaled Mashal

$880,516 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$705,636 Vol.

<1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,067,244 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Kirk

$1,278,668 Vol.

<1%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,192,665 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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