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Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
PredictionsMarkets

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

$123K Vol.$14.4K LiquidityEnds Sep 30
$63,650
24h Volume
$123,322
Total Volume
$14,363
Liquidity
OutcomeChance
Mark Carney
$3,388 Vol.
80%12%
Tucker Carlson
$2,598 Vol.
71%4%
Kathy Hochul
$2,157 Vol.
64%7%
Ilhan Omar
$295 Vol.
60%2%
Jimmy Kimmel
$881 Vol.
59%3%
Hillary Clinton
$1,961 Vol.
59%1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$211 Vol.
54%1%
Letitia James
$493 Vol.
52%3%
Jon Ossoff
$103 Vol.
50%10%
Adam Schiff
$61 Vol.
46%5%
Elizabeth Warren
$457 Vol.
45%16%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$1,505 Vol.
44%14%
Norah O'Donnell
$52 Vol.
43%11%
Megyn Kelly
$377 Vol.
42%8%
Elon Musk
$113 Vol.
40%6%
Candace Owens
$2,885 Vol.
37%8%
Melania Trump
$95 Vol.
31%19%
Zohran Mamdani
$2,477 Vol.
31%9%
Jerome Powell
$1,759 Vol.
28%25%
Friedrich Merz
$2,053 Vol.
28%16%
Stephen Colbert
$321 Vol.
28%2%
Andy Burnham
$3,064 Vol.
27%9%
Emmanuel Macron
$4,263 Vol.
23%5%
J.D. Vance
$1,500 Vol.
16%5%
Alex Jones
$204 Vol.
15%35%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,615 Vol.
14%6%
Pam Bondi
$250 Vol.
9%4%
Kevin Warsh
$69,402 Vol.
7%36%
Xi Jinping
$1,622 Vol.
6%2%
Pope Leo XIV
$1,356 Vol.
6%1%
Mohammed bin Salman
$408 Vol.
5%1%
Karoline Leavitt
$272 Vol.
3%
Vladimir Putin
$2,371 Vol.
3%0.9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
Kevin Warsh · Yes
Market
Amount
$
0.00 Shares
To win
Avg. Price 7.0¢
$0.00

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Market Summary

Market CreatorDoberTeam
CreatedSep 2
EndsSep 30
Market ID0xaa94…c88d
Share Market