Next French Presidential Election

$128M Vol.$16.1M LiquidityEnds Apr 30

$916,943

24h Volume

$127,514,983

Total Volume

$16,121,005

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$2,145,914 Vol.

36%0.6%

Édouard Philippe

$1,461,640 Vol.

27%1%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,327,151 Vol.

13%

François Hollande

$1,626,217 Vol.

David Lisnard

$1,781,451 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$2,140,934 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,644,159 Vol.

Jordan Bardella

$2,001,852 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$2,099,688 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$1,714,070 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$1,951,613 Vol.

<1%

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,565,257 Vol.

<1%

Éric Zemmour

$2,138,696 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$5,637,061 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,506,176 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$5,789,105 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,661,196 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$3,684,513 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$4,218,529 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$5,722,723 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,981,221 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,717,594 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$4,057,665 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,694,346 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$2,062,393 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,270,670 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$2,199,404 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$4,145,470 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$290,001 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$222,251 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$556,368 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$545,109 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$291,856 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$3,208,923 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$5,828,174 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,253,502 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,939,343 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,057 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,742,009 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$4,824,125 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,559 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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