Next French Presidential Election

$116M Vol.$11.7M LiquidityEnds Apr 30

$115,306

24h Volume

$116,227,177

Total Volume

$11,663,798

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Marine Le Pen

$1,678,371 Vol.

31%

Édouard Philippe

$1,201,126 Vol.

26%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,089,620 Vol.

13%

Jordan Bardella

$1,797,969 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$1,890,078 Vol.

François Hollande

$1,399,436 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$1,917,366 Vol.

David Lisnard

$1,542,476 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,346,981 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$1,576,900 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,305,956 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$1,647,206 Vol.

<1%

Éric Zemmour

$1,896,173 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,994,075 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$1,203,378 Vol.

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

$1,720,457 Vol.

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,421,710 Vol.

<1%

François Ruffin

$3,035,572 Vol.

<1%

Marine Tondelier

$3,473,195 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$4,957,901 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$5,238,990 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,497,966 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$5,043,082 Vol.

<1%

Juan Branco

$1,874,086 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$3,948,128 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$5,106,466 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$3,857,080 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$5,472,901 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$4,741,240 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$3,885,051 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$5,699,110 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$5,253,104 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,497,366 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$4,531,728 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$4,615,271 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$6,213,870 Vol.

<1%

Karim Bouamrane

$54,452 Vol.

<1%

Lucie Castets

$29,301 Vol.

<1%

Yannick Jadot

$265,264 Vol.

<1%

François Baroin

$214,341 Vol.

<1%

Marion Maréchal

$92,498 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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