Which company has best AI model end of July?

$8M Vol.$2M LiquidityEnds Jul 31

$52,327

24h Volume

$7,952,136

Total Volume

$2,046,024

Liquidity

OutcomeChance

Anthropic

$1,007,479 Vol.

>99%

OpenAI

$947,687 Vol.

<1%

Google

$839,092 Vol.

<1%

Alibaba

$461,755 Vol.

<1%

Z.ai

$344,325 Vol.

<1%

xAI

$827,908 Vol.

<1%

DeepSeek

$545,970 Vol.

<1%

Moonshot

$662,621 Vol.

<1%

Mistral

$214,957 Vol.

<1%

Meituan

$278,601 Vol.

<1%

Microsoft

$368,519 Vol.

<1%

Meta

$669,142 Vol.

<1%

Amazon

$196,149 Vol.

<1%

Baidu

$291,494 Vol.

<1%

ByteDance

$296,438 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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