Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$2.1M Vol.$196K LiquidityEnds Jan 1
$362,226
24h Volume
$2,112,396
Total Volume
$195,690
Liquidity
OutcomeChance
December 31, 2026
$1,821,570 Vol.
23%0.5%
October 31, 2026
$62,029 Vol.
19%2%
September 30, 2026
$228,796 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.