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Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
PredictionsMarkets

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

$5.1K Vol.$12.8K LiquidityEnds Jul 31
<1%chance
Market Probability
$1
24h Volume
$5,128
Total Volume
$12,830
Liquidity

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

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Market
Amount
$
0.00 Shares
To win
Avg. Price 0.8¢
$0.00

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Market Summary

Market CreatorDoberTeam
CreatedJul 21
EndsJul 31
Market ID0x8d5f…ec7e
Share Market